Posted at 12 p.m., Monday, October 29, 2001

Cautious investors send stocks falling

• Hawai'i Stocks
• Updated Market Chart

Associated Press

NEW YORK — Investors, unsure that the market's month-long recovery will continue, sent stocks sharply lower today. The Dow Jones industrials fell more than 270 points.

Analysts said they weren't alarmed by the decline, however, noting that stock prices have been moving higher for several weeks and were due for a sizeable pullback. They also said Wall Street might be playing it safe before consumer confidence, gross domestic product and unemployment figures are released later this week.

The Dow closed down 275.67 at 9,269.50, according to preliminary calculations. It was the index's biggest decline since the precipitous 684-point drop on Sept. 17, when trading resumed following the terrorist attacks.

Broader stock indicators also tumbled. The Standard & Poor's 500 index dropped 26.31 to 1,078.30, while the Nasdaq composite index was down 69.44 at 1,699.52.

"Considering the type of strong move we've had in stock prices since Oct. 1, this is really no surprise," said Brian Belski, fundamental market strategist at US Bancorp Piper Jaffray. "A part of this is locking in some gains, the end of month is also approaching and the end of fiscal year for many mutual funds is approaching.

"But I don't see anything different here this week in terms of the negative variables facing the market, whether it's the economic uncertainty or fear about anthrax."

The Dow has advanced 4.8 percent since the beginning of the month, while the Nasdaq has risen 13.4 percent and the S&P climbed 3.6 percent. Many stocks have been trading near or, in some cases, exceeding levels not seen since before the attacks; the Dow has come within 30 points of recovering all of the 1,369 it lost after the attacks, while the Nasdaq and S&P have surpassed their Sept. 10 levels.

The Nasdaq still managed to close today above its pre-attack level of 1,695.38.

That makes selling especially attractive to people who bought during the steep market declines that followed the assaults.

With more third-quarter reports expected this week and the middle of the fourth quarter approaching, analysts say selling pressure remains considerable. They also believe worries about more terrorism or fallout from the U.S. air strikes is making some investors reluctant to hold big positions in the market.

"We've been trying to take profits since last week and even today," said Chris Wolfe, equity market strategist for J.P. Morgan Private Bank. "We feel that the next three weeks are going to have little if any upside surprise in terms of earnings or corporate outlooks. In fact, we expect that as companies give their midquarter updates, there will be more downward revisions."