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The Honolulu Advertiser
Posted on: Sunday, December 8, 2002

INVESTMENT PORTFOLIOS
How would you invest $25,000 in today's market?

Advertiser Staff

STARTING WITH $25,000 ON SEPT. 12

We asked the financial professionals listed below what they would recommend to a theoretical investor who inherits $25,000 and wants to put it into stocks, mutual funds or bonds to increase the value over the next three months.

They selected five investments of $5,000 each on Sept. 12. The chart shows the value of those investments, as of the close of the market on Friday. They are only allowed to make changes once per month. The rules put limits on the professionals that would not normally apply, and their performance must be viewed with that in mind.

Investing over a short period is risky, and this is not intended to suggest these investments are appropriate for any individual.

The participants were asked to give a comment on their picks and what they would do differently if the investments were for the long term. The date the comments were submitted is included in the chart.

Before investing in any security, it's important to evaluate your current financial situation and your long-term goals. In many cases, reducing credit-card debt or other debt would be a better use of any windfall.

The selections are those of the money managers listed and not The Honolulu Advertiser. The results do not include commission charges.

Larry Goeas, who participated in the earlier columns, has asked not to be included in future columns.

If you have any questions or comments, please contact: David Butts, assistant business editor, 535-2453 or dbutts@honoluluadvertiser.com.

• • •

Roberta Lee-Driscoll
Certified financial planner
1000 Bishop St., Suite 509
Honolulu, HI 96813
524-6823
Explaining the picks

Accrued interest is interest that has accumulated between the most recent interest payment and the sale date of the bond. When a bond is sold, the buyer pays the seller the bond's price plus accrued interest. The buyer will get this interest back plus the interest he has earned when the bond makes its next interest payment. (Nov. 27)

Long-term strategy

To make sure that you get 2003 off to a good start you should consider doing some year-end planning. Talk to your employer to make sure you will be making the maximum retirement plan contributions since the limits will go up in 2003. If you are over 50 you can make additional contributions. (Nov. 27)

Alan Matsuda
Certified financial planner
606 Eaea Place
Honolulu, HI 96825
395-1255
Explaining the picks

I figured my investor wanted to take some risk and didn't want investments he could do himself -- CDs, Treasury bills, for example -- and asked me to identify which investments weren't sinking along with the entire stock market. If he wanted very little risk, I would have picked an ultra-short bond fund (Fidelity, PIMCO). (Dec. 6)

Long-term strategy

Raw, quantitative performance shouldn't be your only criterion in picking a financial adviser. Pick one who returns your phone calls promptly, one who has earned a professional designation and isn't, in reality, a salesperson striving to maximize his/her employer's profits at your expense. (Dec. 6)

Jim Rogers
Brookstreet Securities Corp.
419 South St., No. 121
Honolulu, HI 96813
524-8696
Explaining the picks

This week saw my picks declining along with the overall equity markets. Friday's release of the unemployment figures contained a higher rate than was expected. The economic debate centers on its current strength and sustainability of the recovery. There is a marked uncertainty in the markets in the short term. (Dec. 6)

Long-term strategy

While awaiting the replacements for the positions of Treasury Secretary and Economic Advisor, who were asked to resign on Friday, I am more bullish on the long-term economic environment. I am staying away from equities that are interest rate sensitive and those that have exposure to the impact of the United Airlines problem. (Dec. 6)

Bob L. Slate
Slate Financial Services
45-315 Lilipuna Road, A303
Kane'ohe, HI 96744
263-7676
Explaining the picks

Equities hit a technical double top. I would be getting defensive as the market takes a breather before it tries to take out and hold that 9000 DJIA mark. Technology led a quick rise, but I'd rather wait for technology than jump on the bandwagon. Market sentiment looks good for the most part. Let's see if buyers come in and show support at lower levels. (Dec. 6)

Long-term strategy

There is more than $6 trillion in cash equivalents. The rate cuts by the Fed will probably start to shove investors back into the market in 2003 as dwindling safe havens start to mature. The market seems like it wants to go higher next year. The economy still has much work before I get bullish. Good investment management will be a key factor to investment success. (Dec. 6)

Colin K. Watanabe
Branch manager
National Securities Corp.
1001 Bishop St.
Pacific Tower 1530
Honolulu, HI 96813
(808) 522-9000
Explaining the picks

CSCO is winning sales from companies like SBC Communications for its network equipment. COST same store sales growth was lower than expected at 2 percent. GE may be part of the $2 billion financing to keep United Airlines aloft. KSOIX bought back its covered calls and had an increase in net asset value. TMEN has not made any announcements, but I remain optimistic it will receive its first contract soon. (Dec. 6)

Long-term strategy

After eight weeks of gains, a pull-back is not only expected but welcome. Market activity was orderly and was most likely profit-taking. The shake-up of White House financial chiefs came amid generally weak economic data. The administration may start to focus on the economy ahead of the 2004 election. In any case, I remain cautiously optimistic. (Dec. 6)

Mario Yim
Raymond James
1221 Kapiolani Blvd., Suite 6E
Honolulu, HI 96814
591-9088
Explaining the picks

I have added two stocks that currently present good value. Hawaiian Electric is a good value with its steady earnings and its 6% dividend. Lennar, a homebuilder that is benefitting greatly from the recent boom in residential homes, and at 8 times earnings, it is undervalued. Because of the continued risk in the overall market, we continue to recommend holding bonds to balance the risk. (Dec. 6)

Long-term strategy

In our actual client portfolios we buy and sell stock and bond positions whenever the opportunity arises and not on a specific buy date once a month as in this contest. My clients have realized positive returns during this contest period which greatly differs from the returns of this contest which are limited by the numerous constraints. (Dec. 6)