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The Honolulu Advertiser
Posted at 12:12 p.m., Tuesday, December 17, 2002

Dow closes down 92 on McDonald's warning

Hawai'i Stocks
Updated Market Chart

By Amy Baldwin
Associated Press

NEW YORK — A profit warning from McDonald's discouraged investors today, reminding them of the weak economy and prompting them to unload stocks.

Although there was some good economic news, investors still opted to take profits from a substantial advance in the previous session and from a two-month fall rally. Analysts said some selling was to be expected, given the market's recent gains and the fact that the earnings and economic recoveries investors are hoping for in 2003 aren't yet assured.

The Dow Jones industrial average closed down 92.01, or 1.1 percent, 8,535.39, having jumped 193.69 yesterday.

The broader market also retreated. The Nasdaq composite index fell 8.29, or 0.6 percent, to 1,392.04. The Standard & Poor's 500 index declined 7.41, or 0.8 percent, to 902.99.

"We had a big run-up yesterday and the basis for that is not really clear," said Ed Peters, chief investment officer at PanAgora Asset Management Inc. in Boston. "McDonald's could have a negative impact. And things in the Middle East continue to sound worrisome, and that has some impact."

Today's batch of economic news was rather positive. The Federal Reserve reported that industrial production rose 0.1 percent in November, bouncing off a 0.6 percent drop in October and matching Wall Street's expectations.

In another report, the Labor Department said consumer prices edged up 0.1 percent in November, the smallest gain since July and better than analysts had anticipated.

And in a separate report, the Commerce Department said that construction of new homes rose 2.4 percent in November due to the lowest mortgage rates since the 1960s.

But the economic reports failed to overshadow negative news, including a fourth-quarter profit warning from McDonald's, which sent the stock down $1.39 at $15.99.

Other losers today included Best Buy, down $1.40 at $24 after beating third-quarter earnings expectations by penny a share but also projecting a flat fourth quarter.

Software maker Oracle fell 28 cents to $11.02 ahead of its earnings due to be reported tomorrow.

Despite today's slippage, market observers said the mood on Wall Street remains upbeat and the market's bias is to move up, not down.

"There is a good tone in the market," said Michael Murphy, head trader for Wachovia Securities in Baltimore. "To me (stocks) seem to want to go up. They had a big day yesterday, and they are hanging in pretty well today."

Indeed, the market has held onto much of its autumn rally. After hitting a five-year low on Oct. 9, the Dow is now up 17 percent from that point. The Nasdaq is up 25 percent and the S&P is up 16 percent from six-year lows established on Oct. 9.

Declining issues outnumbered advancers nearly 8 to 5 on the New York Stock Exchange. Trading volume was light at 1.25 billion shares, slightly above yesterday's 1.24 billion.

The Russell 2000 index, which tracks smaller company stocks, fell 3.65, or 0.9 percent, to 391.25.

Overseas, Japan's Nikkei stock average finished Tuesday up 0.7 percent. In Europe, France's CAC-40 declined 1.1 percent, Britain's FTSE 100 fell 1.9 percent and Germany's DAX index lost 2 percent.