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The Honolulu Advertiser

Posted at 11:29 a.m., Monday, July 15, 2002

Volatility rocks Wall Street

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Wall Street's volatile fluctuations today left analysts and investors shaken as panic early in the day sent indexes plunging, which then just as quickly rallied to end the day relatively mixed.

After falling more than 400 points, the Dow recovered much of its loss, closing down 45.34, or 0.5 percent, at 8,639.19.

The Nasdaq composite index rose 8.99, or 0.7 percent, to 1,382.49, after last week's loss of 74.86, or 5.2 percent. The Nasdaq was down more than 58 points earlier.

The Standard & Poor's 500 index fell 3.52, or 0.4 percent, to 917.87, recovering from a loss of nearly 45 points. The S&P ended last week down 67.64, or 6.8 percent.

Analysts said corporate accounting scandals have spooked investors, making them mistrustful of earnings reports and outlooks for the remainder of the year.

"For lack of a better description, you have as much full-fledged panic as you are going to get," said Tony Cecin, director of institutional trading at US Bancorp Piper Jaffray in Minneapolis. "The negative mentality is as pervasive as I have ever seen it, and I went through (the) '73 and '74" bear market.

Investors seem to be in the throes of a deep depression, one that shows no sign of lifting for the foreseeable future.

"I have been selling a lot this year," said Roger Hing, 70, a retired electronics engineer in Fountain Valley, Calif. "I don't think the economy is going to pick us as much as everyone thinks it is. The investing public is very concerned, at least I am, about what is happening with bookkeeping. Corporate officers are taking advantage of us little people."

Despite mounting evidence of an economic recovery, investors have been unloading stocks for eight weeks due to unceasing worries about the integrity of corporate accounting and prospects for earnings growth. The major indexes have not finished a week higher since mid-May.

"Just as the markets were driven on the upside by emotion ‚ euphoria and greed ‚ this market is driven by fear and despair," said Hugh Johnson, chief investment officer at First Albany Corp. "It is not at all unusual for the market to disconnect from the economy and earnings when fear takes hold."

Bookkeeping concerns weighed on Duke Energy, which fell $1.05 to $23.70 after being downgraded by Morgan Stanley, Salomon Smith Barney and Goldman Sachs. On Thursday, Duke said it had received subpoenas from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and the Houston office of the U.S. attorney for information related to its trading activities.

Energy company El Paso Corp., which said it received a similar subpoena Friday from the Houston office of the U.S. attorney, declined 25 cents to $17.50.

Other losers included 3M, down $1.98 at $118.89, and Johnson & Johnson, which fell $1.50 to $49. And, General Electric declined 35 cents to $28.25, despite reaffirming its yearly earnings outlook last week.

But Coca-Cola rose 95 cents to $52 following news that it will adjust its accounting to report results more fairly. Coke will begin treating future stock options as employee compensation.

Dell Computer advanced 42 cents to $25.42, having raised its second-quarter earnings and revenue estimates on Thursday.

There was no economic news to inspire investors. The Commerce Department reported that businesses raised their inventories by 0.2 percent. Analysts were mixed in interpreting the finding. Some viewed the increase as a sign of an ongoing slump in demand for goods, while others were hopeful that it meant companies are confident enough about the economy to increase their stockpiles.

Declining issues outnumbered advancers 3 to 1 on the New York Stock Exchange. Volume was relatively heavy.

The Russell 2000 index, the barometer of smaller company stocks, fell 4.23, or 1 percent, to 409.05.

Analysts say the dollar, weakening against international currencies, is another drag on the market, and has prompted many foreign investors to exit U.S. equities.

Overseas markets were lower today with Japan's Nikkei stock average finishing down 2.1 percent. In Europe, Britain's FTSE 100 and France's CAC-40 each slid 5.4 percent, and Germany's DAX index dropped 5.3 percent.