Posted at 11:24 a.m., Friday, October 11, 2002
GE gains propel rally for Dow, blue chips
Hawai'i Stocks
Updated Market Chart
By Hope Yen
Associated Press
Positive earnings news from General Electric and a brokerage upgrade of IBM helped propel the Dow Jones industrial average up 316 points or more than 4 percent to 7,850.29, according to preliminary calculations.
It was blue chips' first back-to-back daily gains in two weeks after rising 248 points yesterday.
"GE is really the bellwether of the market," said John C. Forelli, portfolio manager for Independence Investment LLC in Boston. "If the company can lead us out of this, I think it will give investors some confidence."
Some analysts were cautiously optimistic that the market could continue to sustain its rally, although they acknowledge the possibility of more steep declines because of growing investor concern about the strength of the economic recovery and prospects of a war with Iraq.
After hitting a peak on Aug. 22, blue-chip stocks have lost about 1,200 points.
Yesterday, the broader market also finished higher. The Nasdaq composite index rose 47.09, or 4.1 percent, to 1,210.46. The Standard & Poor's 500 index gained 31.40, or 3.9 percent, to 835.32.
All three indexes recorded their first weekly gains in seven weeks with the Dow rising 4.3 percent, the Nasdaq climbing 6.2 percent and the S&P advancing 4.3 percent.
General Electric reported a 25 percent increase in third-quarter earnings, matching analysts' expectations. The conglomerate also said it would meet its profit forecast for the year despite tough economic conditions. Shares rose $1.61 to $24.21.
And IBM climbed $6.34 to $63.92 after Lehman Brothers upgraded its stock to overweight. The news boosted other computer stocks, including Intel, which rose $1.04 to $15.22 and Microsoft, which gained $2.49 to $48.87.
Investors, meanwhile, seemed to appreciate a pair of economic reports that fell in line with analysts' expectations and shook off another showing a sharp decline in consumer confidence.
The Commerce Department reported today that consumers cut back spending in September, pushing the nation's retail sales down by 1.2 percent, the largest drop since November. Some analysts forecast a drop of 0.6 percent, while others projected the larger decline of around 1.2 percent.
Separately, the Labor Department said wholesale prices rose by 0.1 percent in September, after being flat in August. The report suggested that inflation is low and isn't a threat to the economy right now.
And the University of Michigan reported that consumer sentiment in October dropped unexpectedly to 80.4 from 86.1 in September, the lowest since the fall of 1993, according to Dow Jones Newswires. Economists had expected the index to hold about steady.
"It's certainly not great numbers, but if investors are starting to view numbers like that as positives, then you know a lot of pessimism has been built into the market," creating opportunities for some stock rallies, Forelli said.
"We've been in such a poor market lately that a little bit of a bounce always feels good, but we don't know if there will be follow-through," he said.
International Paper rose $1.60 to $34.49, despite a downgrade of its stock from Lehman Brothers.
Decliners included Kindred Healthcare, which fell $11.88 to $15.84, after the nursing home operator announced it would record about $55 million of additional costs for professional liability claims above its normal provision for the third quarter.
Advancing issues outnumbered decliners more than 4 to 1 on the New York Stock Exchange. Volume was heavy.
The Russell 2000 index, a barometer of smaller company stocks, rose 8.75, or 2.6 percent, to 344.93.
Overseas, Japan's Nikkei stock average finished today higher 1.1 percent. In Europe, France's CAC-40 rose 5.2 percent, Britain's FTSE 100 climbed 4.7 percent, and Germany's DAX index was up 7.2 percent.