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Posted at 12:45 p.m., Thursday, February 6, 2003

Productivity report drags down stocks

Hawai'i Stocks
Updated Market Chart

By Hope Yen
Associated Press

NEW YORK ­ A tepid productivity report gave investors more reasons to sell today, sending stocks moderately lower and carrying the Dow Jones industrials and Standard & Poor's 500 index to levels not seen in nearly four months.

Analysts said trading was uneven as investors made short-term bets on whether or when the United States would wage war on Iraq. Tensions with North Korea also pressured the market.

"It's been sloppy and choppy in the last few sessions as speculative trading entered the fray," said Bryan Piskorowski, market commentator at Prudential Securities. "The lackluster productivity figures are definitely not a step in the right direction."

"There's a massive wait-and-see mentality here, not only on Wall Street but Main Street as well," he added. "With that being the case, speculative action is making the most of it."

The Dow fell 55.88, or 0.7 percent, to close at 7,929.30, for a three-day loss of 180 points. It was the lowest level seen since Oct. 14, when blue chip stocks finished at 7,877.40.

The broader market finished mixed. The S&P 500 index dropped 5.44, or 0.6 percent, to 838.15, the lowest since Oct. 11, when it closed at 835.32. The Nasdaq composite index inched up 0.23, or 0.02 percent, to 1,301.73.

A pair of mixed economic reports, particularly one showing sluggish productivity, added to the market's foul mood as investors also kept watch over the situation with Iraq.

The Labor Department reported that U.S. companies' productivity fell at an annual rate of 0.2 percent in the final quarter of 2002, the worst showing in more than a year. Economists predicted a 0.7 percent rise.

Separately, the department said new claims for unemployment benefits fell last week by a seasonally adjusted 11,000 to 391,000. That was a turnaround from the previous week when claims rose by 19,000, suggesting the pace of layoffs may be stabilizing though employment remained sluggish.

Analysts say investors remain hesitant to commit to stocks due to concerns about a war with Iraq; that reluctance has fed steep declines in the past three weeks. But they add the market could see some short-term rallies based mostly on bargain-hunting and generally positive earnings news.

Meanwhile, the White House said it had "robust plans for any contingencies" involving North Korea, a day after the country said that pre-emptive attacks on its nuclear facilities would trigger "total war."

"It's only the uncertainties of the Iraqi confrontation that are currently bedeviling the markets," said A.C. Moore, chief investment strategist for Dunvegan Associates, citing recent data showing improvements in profits, as well as the manufacturing and service sectors.

"Should that be a short-term affair and successful business, there could be a very strong lift to stocks from current levels," he said.

Agilent Technologies slid $4.06, or 24.9 percent, to $12.26 after warning that its latest fiscal quarter would be greater than its previous forecast and Wall Street's estimates.

PepsiCo fell 86 cents to $40.22 after the soft drink maker reported fourth-quarter income that met analysts' expectations.

Allstate dropped $2.37 to $32.02 despite reporting fourth-quarter operating income that beat expectations by 10 cents a share.

Gainers included Gap, which rose 55 cents to $15.53, after the clothing retailer posted January same-store sales that were above expectations; it also raised its earnings estimates for the fourth quarter and fiscal 2003.