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The Honolulu Advertiser

Posted at 11:30 a.m., Monday, July 28, 2003

Stock rally stalls as buyers turn cautious

Hawai'i Stocks
Updated Market Chart

By Hope Yen
Associated Press

NEW YORK — Wall Street stalled today as upbeat earnings from Northrop Grumman and Kellogg couldn’t overcome investor concerns that the market’s recent rally might have come too quickly. Stocks closed narrowly mixed.

“Investors are trying to digest the earnings,” said John C. Forelli, portfolio manager for Independence Investment LLC.

“We’re all trying to calibrate how self-sustaining this recovery will be.”

“The question is whether we have both the economic and earnings news to back up” the market’s advance, he added. “We need a couple of missing pieces of the puzzle, which are employment growth and increased business investment.”

The Dow Jones industrial average closed down 18.06, or 0.2 percent, at 9,266.51. It gained 1.1 percent last week, largely on Friday’s advance of 172.06.

The broader market finished mixed.

The Nasdaq composite index rose 4.64, or 0.3 percent, to 1,735.34, following a weekly advance of 1.3 percent. The Standard & Poor’s 500 index fell 2.16, or 0.2 percent, to 996.52, after last week’s 0.5 percent rise.

Stocks have lurched up and down in recent days as investors sift through quarterly earnings reports and look for evidence of a solid economic rebound.

Some analysts believe that even if profits remain strong, the market may see pullbacks after surging so much since mid-March.

Investors also were trading cautiously in advance of economic reports due out later this week, including consumer confidence on Tuesday, gross domestic product on Thursday and employment on Friday. All should offer clues as to the economy’s health.

“We’re kind of mired in the summer trading session,” said Stephen Carl, principal and head of equity trading at the Williams Capital Group. “People want to justify the earnings and strong corporate guidance going forward. Unless they see that, they might be inclined to take profits or stall a little bit.”

Northrop Grumman climbed $5.26 to $92.36 after the defense contractor posted a jump in second-quarter profits that handily beat expectations; it also raised its yearlong outlook.

AT&T, a Dow component, gained $1.79 to $22.20 after Credit Suisse First Boston raised the telecom company’s stock rating to “outperform” from “neutral,” citing good valuation.

Kellogg rose 77 cents to $34.77 after the cereal maker reported a 19 percent increase in quarterly earnings that beat Wall Street’s estimates.

Decliners included Dow components Altria Group, which fell 72 cents to $40.27, and Merck, which dropped 86 cents to $56.66.

Atlantic Coast Airlines slid $2.53, or 23.8 percent, to $8.09 after the regional air carrier said it would establish an independent low-fare airline and ended its relationship with United Airlines.

Advancing issues finished even with decliners on the New York Stock Exchange. Volume was light.

The Russell 2000 index, a barometer of smaller company stocks, rose 4.95, or 1.1 percent, to 473.83.

Japan’s Nikkei stock average finished 2 percent higher Monday. In Europe, France’s CAC-40 advanced 1.8 percent, Britain’s FTSE 100 gained 0.4 percent and Germany’s DAX index climbed 1.8 percent.