Number of new projects up 6.4 percent
By Jeannine Aversa
Associated Press
WASHINGTON — Housing construction rebounded with gusto in March, rising by 6.4 percent, the largest increase in 10 months. But production at America's industries fell.
Associated Press
The Commerce Department reported yesterday that the number of residential projects that builders started last month clocked in at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 2 million units, representing a 6.4 percent rise from the previous month.
Juan Jose Santana, an employee of Gary Day Construction, worked on the roof of a new home in Las Vegas on Thursday. Housing construction rebounded with gusto in March; industrial production for the month fell.
In another report, production at the nation's factories, mines and utilities dipped by 0.2 percent in March, following two months of strong increases, the Federal Reserve said. Industrial production rose by 0.7 percent in January and 0.8 percent in February.
"It shows what every manufacturer knows — business is volatile, growing in spurts, not in a smooth pattern," said Daniel Meckstroth, chief economist at the Manufacturers Alliance/MAPI, a research group. "The report should be seen as a temporary pause in the context of a solid industrial expansion."
While the industrial sector, hardest hit by the 2001 recession, has experienced an uneven path to recovery, the nation's housing markets have been thriving in an environment of relatively low mortgage rates.
The advance in housing construction, the largest since last May, came after two straight months in which housing construction dropped. Those previous declines were blamed on bad weather in some parts of the country, which forced construction delays.
March's performance was stronger than analysts were expecting. They were forecasting housing starts to rise to a rate of around 1.9 million units.
Recent economic reports showing an increase in job creation, retail sales and consumer prices have all fueled speculation in financial markets that the Federal Reserve will raise short-term interest rates in coming months.
That has caused long-term mortgage rates to climb. Rates on 30-year mortgages rose to 5.89 percent this week, the highest since early December. Still, economists believe that home sales — which hit all-time highs last year — will remain healthy this year.
While economists have differing opinions on when the Fed may start to boost short-term rates, they do agree that it won't be at the central bank's next meeting May 4. Economists widely expect Fed policy-makers to hold short-term rates at a 45-year low of 1 percent at that time.
By region, new residential projects under way in March rose by 10.6 percent in the Midwest to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 386,000. In the South, housing construction increased by 8.5 percent to a rate of 945,000 units, and in the West, housing starts rose by 3.7 percent to a pace of 502,000. But in the Northeast, new housing projects dipped by 4.9 percent to a rate of 174,000.
Permits filed to build new housing projects — a good measure of current demand — rose by 1.9 percent in March from the previous month to a rate of 1.9 million units. The rise in permits came after two straight months of declines.
Home builders, meanwhile, feel good about prospects for home sales in April as well as for the next six months, according to a monthly survey by the National Association of Home Builders.
"Favorable interest rates and strong home-price appreciation definitely are still driving demand in today's housing market, despite the recent bump-up in mortgage rates," said the association's president Bobby Rayburn, a home builder in Jackson, Miss.
