Estelle is expected to pass no closer than 200 miles south of the Big Island sometime Wednesday. Big Island residents will see "a slight increase" in trade winds and showers, according to today's forecast.

"Maybe the Ka'u district may see a little increase in showers, but the system is expected to pass a good distance south in a very weakened state," said lead forecaster Bob Burke.

The storm's only real impact will be surf, but again, only on the Big Island. The weather service issued a high-surf advisory through tomorrow for all east-facing shores of the Big Island. Wave faces were expected to build to 8 to 12 feet this morning and continue tomorrow.

But if you live anywhere else in the state, you might not be in a huge hurry to surf the east side.

"The Big Island will tend to block most of the swell for the other islands," Burke said. "We won't see a lot. There may be little increase but it won't reach advisory levels."

North-facing shores are seeing an off-season swell, however, with wave faces of 6 to 10 feet today and more in the forecast for Wednesday, the weather service said.

Today's overnight and morning rain was unrelated to Estelle, Burke said. It came from moisture in the trade winds.