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Posted at 11:56 a.m., Wednesday, February 4, 2004

Investor indecision pushes stocks down

Hawai'i Stocks
Updated Market Chart

By Meg Richards
Associated Press

NEW YORK — Investor uncertainty pushed stocks lower today in volatile trading, with networker Cisco Systems’ tentative spending outlook hitting technology shares hard.

Wall Street continued the week’s sideways trading, with blue chip shares showing greater strength than more speculative tech and small-cap stocks as cautious investors move to defensive positions.

As earnings season winds down, some analysts say the market may be headed for a pause, but despite today’s tech selling, investors don’t seem ready to pull out in large numbers yet.

"Today, there’s a lot of indecision. This market is as wimpy as I’ve seen in a long time," said Brian Belski, market strategist at Piper Jaffray. "But there’s a lot of pent up of buying demand, lots of inflow into the market, so I tend to think it’s too early to jump on the correction bandwagon."

According to preliminary calculations, the Dow Jones industrial average finished down 34.44, or 0.3 percent, at 10,470.74.

The broader gauges were also lower. The Nasdaq tumbled 52.07, or 2.5 percent, to 2,014.14. The Standard & Poor’s 500 index lost 9.51, or 0.8 percent, to 1,126.52.

The fact that the tech-heavy Nasdaq composite index slumped because of Cisco’s less-than-stellar forecast underscores that "a lot of good news is priced in, and any sort of disappointment can affect prices disproportionately," said Brian Pears, head equity trader at Victory Capital Management in Cleveland.

"Broadly speaking, I still feel pretty good; the economy is clearly growing at this point," Pears said, adding that he would be keeping an eye on the government payroll report due Friday. "I think the market’s going to hold its breath until we get those numbers."

Corporate earnings have beaten forecasts overall and economic numbers have been consistently strong. A better-than-expected rise in factory orders for December, reported today by the Commerce Department, offered further evidence that the recovery remains on track.

Cisco Systems Inc. dropped $2.33, or 8.8 percent, to $24.08, although its earnings beat Wall Street’s expectations. Industry observers had watched the results for signs that businesses were investing more in tech, but the networking equipment company indicated any rebound in spending remains uncertain.

Another significant decliner in the Nasdaq was Ciena Corp., which plummeted $1.30, or 18 percent, to $5.99, after the telecommunications equipment maker warned investors that its first-quarter revenues were likely to drop below forecasts. The company blamed the shortfall on the timing of a single order.

Tech stocks on the Dow also fell. Hewlett-Packard Co. skidded 72 cents to $23.19, while Intel Corp. dropped $1.27 to $30.09 and Microsoft Corp. fell 26 cents to $27.03.

McDonald’s Corp. rose 26 cents to $26.41 after Smith Barney raised its price target for the fast-food retailer, citing a franchisee survey that points to strong sales momentum.

General Mills Inc. lost 74 cents to $44.91 a day after the cereal maker disclosed that federal investigators had made a preliminary decision to recommend civil action against it over its sales practices.