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Posted at 4:42 p.m., Friday, April 15, 2005

Dow plummets 191 on economic fears

By Michael J. Martinez
Associated Press

NEW YORK — Wall Street suffered its worst single day in nearly two years today, with the Dow Jones industrial average falling 191 points for its third straight triple-digit loss. Deepening concerns over economic growth and higher prices led to the worst week of trading since August.

An already uneasy market began the biggest one-day selloff since May 19, 2003, after the Federal Reserve reported drops in manufacturing and other industrial production, and a Labor Department report showed higher oil costs driving up import prices.

The selloff was bolstered by lower-than-expected profits from IBM Corp., which led to fears that technology spending would be substantially worse than expected this year. Strong earnings from General Electric Co. and Citigroup Inc. were overlooked, but analysts said earnings would nonetheless be a key factor in overcoming the recent slump.

"Earnings are really the only hope for this market," said Brian Pears, head equity trader at Victory Capital Management in Cleveland. "If, on the whole, earnings can go up, then we might be able to overcome oil and inflation and all the other things."

According to preliminary calculations, the Dow fell 191.24, or 1.86 percent, to 10,087.51, after falling 125 points Thursday and 104 points Wednesday. It was the Dow's lowest close since Nov. 2.

Broader stock indicators also lost considerable ground. The Nasdaq composite index dropped 38.56, or 1.98 percent, to 1,908.15 for its worst showing since Oct. 25.

The Standard & Poor's 500 index was down 19.43, or 1.67 percent, at 1,142.62, its lowest level since Nov. 3.

All three indexes set five-month lows for the second straight session, prompted by disappointing earnings in the tech sector and questions about slowing economic growth. With today's losses, it was the first time the Dow lost 100 points three sessions in a row since late January 2003.

For the week, the Dow lost 3.57 percent, the S&P 500 was down 3.27 percent, and the Nasdaq tumbled 4.56 percent. The major indexes are also at their lowest points of 2005, with the Nasdaq down 12.29 percent, the Dow falling 6.45 percent and the S&P having lost 5.72 percent.

Bond investors were pleased with today's results, however, as the bond market continued to rally. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note fell to 4.24 percent from 4.34 percent late yesterday. The dollar was mixed against other major currencies, while gold prices moved higher.

Crude oil prices were lower and continued a two-week downtrend, with a barrel of light crude settling at $50.49, down 64 cents, on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

The recent drop in crude futures notwithstanding, higher oil prices are to blame for the jump in import prices, the Labor Department said. Import costs rose 1.8 percent in March, but even without oil, prices rose 0.3 percent, more than the 0.2 percent rise economists had expected.

"There's a lot of evidence that when we have oil averaging $53 or $54 per barrel, that's inflationary, and we got a whiff of that today in the import prices," said Peter Cardillo, chief strategist and senior vice president with S.W. Bach & Co. "It doesn't help that we're starting to see the economy enter a slowing mode heading into the second quarter here."

Investors looking at the Fed's industrial output report also questioned whether higher energy and materials costs were affecting manufacturing growth as well. Overall industrial production rose 0.3 percent in March, up from 0.2 percent in February, but the increase came only from utility production due to a colder-than-average month, and manufacturing and other industrial sectors showed losses for the first time in six months.

IBM said an inability to close deals before the end of the quarter, combined with higher pension costs, dragged on its earnings. The technology company, which missed Wall Street forecasts by 6 cents per share, hinted at a major restructuring this year. IBM tumbled $6.94, or 8.3 percent to $76.60, and was the biggest loser on the Dow.

General Electric rose 25 cents to $35.75 after the industrial and media conglomerate reported a 25 percent jump in first-quarter profits, with nine of the company's 11 disparate divisions reporting double-digit growth. The company's forecasts for the second quarter and full year were in line with Wall Street's estimates.

Citigroup beat Wall Street's expectations for its quarterly profits by 2 cents per share, with profits rising a modest 3 percent year-over-year. The financial company also said its board had authorized the repurchase of an additional $15 billion in stock. Citigroup added 35 cents to $45.75.

The lagging pharmaceutical sector saw new life after Genentech Inc. reported strong results from trials of its Avastin drug in breast cancer patients, and Ely Lilly & Co. received a favorable patent ruling on its best-selling anti-psychotic drug Zyprexa. Genentech surged $10.72, or 18.3 percent, to $69.35, while Lilly climbed $2.91 to $58.07.

Declining issues outnumbered advancers by more than 4 to 1 on the New York Stock Exchange, where consolidated volume came to 2.75 billion shares, compared with 2.38 billion yesterday.

The Russell 2000 index of smaller companies was down 11.16, or 1.89 percent, at 580.78. The Russell lost 4.91 percent this week and is down 10.86 percent for the year.

Yesterday's losses in U.S. markets had a ripple effect overseas, as the Nikkei stock average fell 1.66 percent. In Europe, Britain's FTSE 100 closed down 1.09 percent, France's CAC-40 lost 1.92 percent for the session, and Germany's DAX index tumbled 2.04 percent.

The Dow Jones industrials ended the week down 373.83, or 3.57 percent, finishing at 10,087.51. The S&P 500 index lost 38.58, or 3.27 percent, to close at 1,142.62.

The Nasdaq fell 91.20, or 4.56 percent, during the week, closing today at 1,908.15.

The Russell 2000 index, which tracks smaller company stocks, closed the week 29.97, or 4.91 percent, lower at 580.78.

The Dow Jones Wilshire 5000 Composite Index — a free-float weighted index that measures 5,000 U.S. based companies — ended the week at 11,246.79, off 387.80 points from last week. A year ago the index was at 11,078.10.

The Wilshire 5000 dropped 446.24 points, or 3.82 percent, in the past three sessions, the largest percentage drop since Nov. 11, 2002, when the total-market index fell 5.1 percent.