You aren't getting truth about city's mass-transit plans
My Sept. 22, 2003 column "BRT: A pattern of deception" detailed the deceptive practices of the then-city administration concerning the In-town Bus/Rapid Transit project.
On Nov. 1, 2004, as the BRT program was closing down, I warned in the column "How to end the spin on O'ahu rail transit" that more deception would be forthcoming as the city considered a rail line — no matter who was elected.
However strong that warning was, it was insufficient considering the full onslaught of spin, deception and obfuscation that has subsequently issued forth this year from Hawai'i's elected officials.
The first was the selling of the project as "light" rail and as updating the failed 1992 plans. However, the 1992 plans called for "heavy" rail, which uses steel wheels on steel rails, is noisy and takes its electricity from the proverbial third rail.
This is why heavy rail, still at an average of only 22.5 mph because of stops, is not as slow as real "light" rail at 18.5 mph.
Our politicians have been telling us that a tax must be in place and levied before federal officials would consider dealing with Hawai'i. This is not true. Federal officials want to see a tax authorized after we select the "Locally Preferred Alternative" sometime in 2007 if the city picks rail.
They do not require that the city actually impose the tax until they receive the federal funds commitment, which is years away.
Our new mayor is promising that rail is what is needed to reduce traffic congestion. However, he knows that rail transit will do little or nothing about traffic congestion.
Even Council members Nestor Garcia and Gary Okino have admitted, reluctantly, in small group meetings, that rail will do nothing for traffic congestion.
Concerning the effects of the tax, the mayor quotes the House Finance Committee's quote of $245 per family of four annually, rather than the Tax Foundation's $450, as the impact of the 12.5 percent tax hike. However you do the math, it does not even cover the projected annual operating losses, let alone raise enough money to build the rail line.
Even the $450 per family does not come close. My projections show that the city will have to increase the general excise tax to at least 5.25 percent to do the job.
Even the use of the GET is dishonest. The only reason to use the GET rather than the gasoline tax, or the property tax, is that voters would be quickly aware of how much it would cost them. A council presentation showed that they would have to raise property taxes by 46 percent or gas taxes by 56 cents a gallon to raise the same revenues as the GET hike. Of course, voters would not stand still for an obvious tax hike.
The mayor now uses a handout, "Top 12 reasons for rail transit." When he first issued it a couple of months ago, I had to write a four-page critique just to cover the more important, shall we say, misstatements. For example:
Now the mayor says we have understated the cost of HOT lanes and it would cost $200 million to $300 million a mile to construct Honolulutraffic.com's 10-mile two-lane tax-free HOT lanes.
He would have you believe that a simple two-lane highway would cost far more than a rail line with its trains and rails, together with stations, each with its escalators, stairs, elevators and electrical substations.
The reality is that Tampa, Fla., will soon open a three-lane elevated HOT lane highway constructed for $46 million a mile, even after a costly design mistake, and its Expressway Authority says that it could replicate it for $28 million a mile
Finally, the mayor recently slides into the absurd by writing, "Imagine an O'ahu where people will live, work, shop and play near transit stations" ("Come out from under the train, Johnny!") and, "a rail system could even improve the city and state's credit-worthiness."
With a $3 billion bond issue? We know that Mufi Hannemann is desperately trying to beat the record of former Mayor Jeremy Harris — but at spinning and obfuscating? Why not best him at telling the truth? Now, there's an easy victory.
Cliff Slater is a regular columnist whose footnoted columns are at: www.lava.net/cslater.
