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The Honolulu Advertiser

Posted on: Friday, February 4, 2005

Isle 'air seats' expected to rise 12%

By Dan Nakaso
Advertiser Staff Writer

The total number of seats on airliners coming into Hawai'i is expected to increase 12.4 percent for the months of February through April compared with the same period last year, the state reported yesterday.

Beginning this month, the state will publish forecasts for the total number of seats on planes coming into Hawai'i.

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The prediction of 2.5 million seats for the three-month period is part of the state's new effort, beginning this month, to publish monthly airline seat forecasts for scheduled, nonstop flights, based on the Official Airline Guide database.

"Everybody asks all of the time about air seats. It's the No. 1 question," said Marsha Wienert, the state's tourism liaison.

The number of airline seats from domestic locations to Hawai'i has increased sharply during the past two years, hitting a record 6.6 million in 2004.

Of the total forecast air seats, 1.8 million are expected to arrive from the Mainland, an 11 percent increase. Another 722,000 would come from international travel, a 16 percent jump.

The number of air seats originating from the Islands' top four visitor markets is expected to rise across the board. The U.S. West region is expected to grow 8.8 percent; U.S. East by 20 percent; Japan by 22.1 percent; and Canada by 18.8 percent.

The new forecasts are based on the number of expected airline seats, not the number of actual passengers.

But hotel, airline and tour wholesale bookings suggest that "February and March look to be phenomenal months," Wienert said. "April is too soon to tell.

"The (U.S.) economy's still doing well, they've got junk weather on the Mainland and there's still pent-up demand for travel," Wienert said. "So more people are traveling."

The forecasts will be available by the first full week of each month on the state Department of Business, Economic Development & Tourism Web site at www2.hawaii.gov/dbedt/latest.

Reach Dan Nakaso at 525-8085 or dnakaso@honoluluadvertiser.com.


Correction: The number of seats on airliners coming to Hawaiçi from domestic locations reached a record 6.6 million in 2004. A previous version of this story contained incorrect information.