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Posted at 12:03 p.m., Tuesday, January 11, 2005

Slumping chip sector weighs on Wall Street

Hawai'i Stocks
Updated Market Chart

By Meg Richards
Associated Press

NEW YORK — Stocks sagged today as a disappointing sales forecast from Advanced Micro Devices Inc. sparked pessimism about semiconductor issues, putting buyers on the run.

The prospect of flagging revenues and profits in the chip sector did little to cheer investors following a weak start to the fourth-quarter earnings season. Less-than-stellar results from Alcoa Inc. and Genentech Inc. — the first two major companies to report — inspired little conviction.

"There's a sense that nobody wants to buy right now. It's earnings week, the numbers have been choppy at best ... I think people are just waiting to see how things shape up," said Michael Murphy, head trader at Wachovia Securities in Baltimore. "I'm not seeing a lot of selling, it's more a case where people have their wallets on their hip. There's no urgency."

According to preliminary results, the Dow Jones industrial average fell 64.81, or 0.61 percent, to 10,556.22.

Broader stock indicators were also lower. The Standard & Poor's 500 index was down 7.26, or 0.61 percent, at 1,182.99. The Nasdaq composite index dropped 17.42, or 0.83 percent, to 2,079.62.

Despite the losses, analysts weren't overly alarmed by the day's trading, or the fact that the major indexes are all down for the year — traditionally a negative indicator for Wall Street. Market fundamentals remain strong, and there have been enough exceptions to January's so-called "early warning" system that it's reasonable to question its accuracy, said Richard A. Dickson, senior market strategist at Lowry's Research Reports in Palm Beach, Fla.

"I think the jury is still out as far as which way this thing is going to go. We think the correction has further to run, how far I have no idea," Dickson said. "But once this correction runs its course, we think then the market runs higher again. We're positive for the market on the year."

The fact that investors apparently have factored so much bad news into stocks so early in the earnings season may work in the market's favor, Dickson added. "There seems to me to be mostly room for surprise to the upside," he said.

That didn't seem to be the case today, as Advanced Micro Devices sank 26 percent, or $5.27, to $14.86, following the chip maker's warning that its fourth-quarter operating income would be "down significantly" from the third quarter. Several investment firms, including Lehman Brothers and Piper Jaffray, cut their ratings after the company issued its forecast late yesterday.

AMD rival and Dow component Intel Corp. shed 34 cents to $22.54. Intel was to report earnings after the close of today's session.

Also on the Dow, leading aluminum producer Alcoa declined 82 cents to $29.65 after missing Wall Street profit forecasts by 2 cents per share. The company blamed higher commodity prices and the weak dollar for an 8 percent drop in net income.

Genentech slumped 6.8 percent, or $3.73, to $50.70, after reporting profits that missed analysts' estimates by a penny per share.