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The Honolulu Advertiser
Posted on: Wednesday, July 19, 2006

A&B high on $71 million buyback of stock

By Andrew Gomes
Advertiser Staff Writer

Alexander & Baldwin Inc. said its $71.5 million stock buyback last week was a good investment for the company, which cited analyst reports that view A&B stock as undervalued.

A&B shares received an initial boost when the buyback was announced July 10, rising 28 cents a share to close at $43.06 that day. Since then, however, A&B shares have fallen 4 percent, closing yesterday at $41.34.

Analysts have been mostly positive in their outlook for A&B stock, with three top-tier investment banks predicting modest appreciation in the share price, and one firm concluding that the shares were above their fair value.

Three Wall Street firms between May 9 and July 6 issued value targets for A&B stock between $51 and $64 a share:

  • JP Morgan in a July 6 report said it believes A&B will have double-digit earnings per stock share in the last three months of this year through 2007, and valued A&B shares from $55 to $62.

  • Goldman Sachs & Co., which handled A&B's stock buyback, said in a May 9 report that it believed A&B stock could rise 20 percent above its target price of $60 a share.

  • Wachovia Securities in a June 15 report said it believes A&B stock trades more than 25 percent below its "intrinsic value," and issued a value range on the stock between $51 and $64.

    Caris & Co. broke from the pack, issuing a June report that said a fair value for A&B stock was about $38 per share, or several dollars below the $41 to $47 range at which A&B repurchased roughly 1.7 million shares.

    Caris & Co. cited factors including a softening housing market and volatile fuel prices that it believes increase risks for A&B's biggest areas of business — real estate development and ocean transportation.

    Another firm, Matrix USA, upgraded its recommendation for A&B stock on June 26 to a "buy" rating, which was up from a "hold" rating. The hold rating, issued May 18, was a downgrade from a "strong buy" rating in March, according to Bloomberg.

    Investors over the past three months have traded A&B stock between $41 and $46. The stock reached a 52-week high of $55.40 in December. The 52-week low was $41.15 on June 26.

    Allen Doane, A&B chairman and CEO, said the buyback was an attractive investment made in response to the recent softness in the company's stock price.

    Reach Andrew Gomes at agomes@honoluluadvertiser.com.