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Updated at 1:03 a.m., Saturday, February 2, 2008

Super Bowl: Jaworski's key Patriots-Giants matchups

By Charean Williams
McClatchy Newspapers

For two weeks, ESPN analyst Ron Jaworski has studied film of the New England Patriots and New York Giants.

He picks the Patriots to beat the Giants. Jaworski breaks down the matchups and keys to the game:

1 — Giants DE Osi Umenyiora vs. Patriots LT Matt Light

"Matt is a solid football player, but guys like him that have that high shoulder in their drop, Osi has the ability to cut underneath that. I think he can get some quick pressure on Tom (Brady). Just get Tom a little bit uncomfortable in the pocket."

2 — Giants QB Eli Manning vs. Patriots LB Junior Seau

"Junior is a downhill, aggressive player. That's just the nature of his style, and I think he's susceptible to the play-action passing game. In the previous matchup (in Week 17), he makes a great play on a run. He fires through and makes a tackle for a 2-yard loss. I guarantee you the Giants went to the sideline after that series (and discussed that play), because they came out the next series, on the very first play, and ran a play-action on Junior. All of a sudden (tight end Kevin) Boss is wide open for a 14-yard gain, wide open. Junior is not even anywhere close because he's running through trying to make a play. You can exploit that aggressiveness in the play-action passing game."

3 — Giants C Shaun O'Hara vs. Patriots DT Vince Wilfork

"The most important piece of real estate in this game is 5 yards behind Shaun O'Hara, in front of Eli Manning. Five yards. That's the spot you have to get to. If you allow Eli to stick that back foot in the ground, step and throw, he is a very, very good quarterback. That tells me Shaun O'Hara has got to be really strong against Vince Wilfork, because Vince is strong. If Shaun is going backward, then that means Eli is going backward. Eli is not at his best when he is drifting backward."

GIANTS TO WATCH

RB Ahmad Bradshaw — The rookie was hurt for the Week 17 game against the Patriots, so he could be the X-factor. The Giants will try to run the ball with Brandon Jacobs and Bradshaw sharing the carries. Bradshaw showed his explosiveness against Buffalo on Dec. 23, running for 151 yards and a touchdown on 17 carries, and he had a 48-yard touchdown run negated by a penalty in the NFC Championship Game.

CB Aaron Ross — Now that the Giants' cornerbacks are healthy again, Ross likely will be back in the slot. That will match him up with Wes Welker. Welker had 11 catches for 122 yards in Week 17 against the Giants.

WR Plaxico Burress — Burress had four catches for 84 yards and two touchdowns against the Patriots in Week 17. He also played well in the NFC Championship Game, catching 11 passes for 151 yards.

PATRIOTS TO WATCH

K Stephen Gostkowski — Adam Vinatieri became the best clutch kicker in history, kicking game-winning field goals over 40 yards in the waning seconds of two Super Bowls. Gostkowski, who replaced Vinatieri when Vinatieri left for Indianapolis before last season, has made 41 of 50 field-goal attempts in his career. But few have come in pressure situations.

WR Randy Moss — Moss set an NFL single-season record with 23 touchdown catches. But he has had a quiet postseason. He has only two catches for 32 yards and one run for 14 yards. The Patriots will try to get Moss involved early.

QB Tom Brady — Brady, who set an NFL record with 50 touchdown passes in the regular season, injured his right ankle in the third quarter of the AFC Championship Game. He has practiced all week, and his ankle injury is not listed on the injury report. But it bears watching, especially if he takes a hit on the leg or is forced to run.

JAWORSKI'S THREE KEYS FOR THE GIANTS

Pressure Tom Brady without blitzing

1 — "The Giants' down four has to have an extremely good game. When you're looking at (defensive ends) Osi (Umenyiora) and Michael (Strahan), they're solid guys. (Justin) Tuck inside, (Barry) Cofield inside, and they've got a nice rotation. If they can get pressure without having to bring a safety, a linebacker or a corner, I think they can slow down Brady. They've got to muddy him up a little bit."

Establish the run

2 — "It's an old adage: You try to shorten the game. But I believe this: Even if you run the ball effectively, you only keep the game close. Somewhere along the way, they're going to have to manufacture some big plays — Plax (Burress) on a play-action pass, which the running game help set up. They're going to need some explosive plays. They'll run it, run it, and then they'll need to get a big play."

Success in the red zone

3 — "When they played New England in Week 17, four red zones, four touchdowns. You can't settle for field goals against this team. You've got to get seven points."

JAWORSKI'S THREE KEYS FOR THE PATRIOTS

Get pressure on Eli Manning

1 — "I think it always comes down to some pressure. You've got to have pressure up the middle. They came after Eli pretty good in that first matchup. Eli handled the pressure pretty good. But they've got to continue to try to make Eli play fast. If Eli is allowed to get comfortable and calm, he can be very sharp."

Re-route the Giants' receivers

2 — "It's not something the Patriots do on a consistent basis. Their corners like to play off. But I think right now, Eli is in such good timing with these wide receivers that they've got to disrupt that timing, a little bump-and-run at the line of scrimmage, not get them that free access. Even though that's not the Patriots' style, I think you'll see a little more press, a little more bump-and-run this game."

Get the ball to Randy Moss

3 — "He's been very quiet in the playoffs, as we know. There's been a reason for that. Teams have doubled him; they've played a safety over the top; they've bumped him. Teams have really, really made an effort to slow him down. If you can get him involved in the game early, some designed plays just to get him the football, now you really make the Giants aware of him. That will negate some of their blitzes. They'll be worried about him. I think you want to get him the ball. Plus, he's the guy that gives you the big plays. It's so hard in this league to go 80 yards in 12 plays. I think he's the guy who can give you the explosive plays."