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The Honolulu Advertiser
Updated at 9:57 a.m., Friday, November 7, 2008

Stocks rise but give up ground after Obama speaks

By SARA LEPRO and TIM PARADIS
Associated Press Business Writers

Hawaii news photo - The Honolulu Advertiser

Traders gather at the post that handles General Motors on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange today.

AP Photo/Richard Drew

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NEW YORK (AP) — Buyers returned to Wall Street today after two days of heavy losses, mindful of the economy's growing problems but attracted by stocks' lower prices.

Analysts said the advance, which also came amid dour third-quarter reports from Ford and General Motors, was to be expected as Wall Street experiences a rocky recovery from October's devastating selling.

The market came off its highest levels of the session after President-elect Obama reiterated that there is a great deal of hard work to be done to restore the economy to health. Investors had optimistically sent prices higher, only to pull back when Obama underscored what they already know: that the economy's problems won't be easily solved.

That afternoon blip upward and retreat was a mini-version of the market's performance over the past two weeks, with investors turning upbeat, then realizing there was little basis in reality for their resurgent confidence.

Hank Smith, chief investment officer at Haverford Investments said the market's turns aren't a surprise.

"I think it's absolutely part of the bottoming process," Smith said. "The Oct. 10 low has been tested again a number of times." The blue chips hit an intraday low of 7,882.51 on Oct. 10.

Today's economic and corporate news reminded the market that the country could be in for a deep and protracted recession.

The Labor Department said the nation's employers cut 240,000 jobs in October, hurtling the U.S. unemployment rate to a 14-year high of 6.5 percent. The market had expected employers to cut 200,000 jobs and for the unemployment rate to rise 6.3 percent.

Meanwhile, Ford Motor Co. reported a $129 million third-quarter loss and announced plans to cut more than 2,000 additional white-collar jobs. General Motors Corp. said it lost $2.5 billion in the quarter and warned that it could run out of cash in 2009. The struggling automaker also said it has suspended talks to acquire Chrysler.

Although the day's news was worse than expected, investors were drawn by prices beaten down the past two sessions.

"We're coming off of a very oversold market that had already braced itself for bad news out of Detroit and certainly bad economic data in terms of the labor report," said Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at Avalon Partners.

The market appeared, at least for one session, to be repeating a recent pattern of rebounding after a huge loss — a pattern that analysts warned would prevail trading for some time to come.

Obama's election to the White House was preceded by a big rally, during which the benchmark Standard & Poor's 500 index surged 18.3 percent in six sessions up through Tuesday. This was followed by a two-day loss of about 10 percent in the major indexes, including a 929-point drop in the Dow, as investors turned their focus once more to the economy's woes.

"There are three factors that are driving this market: psychological, fundamental and technical," Smith said. "The psychological is fear and panic. We've certainly seen that."

The fundamental factor is investors don't know exactly how the current credit crisis is going to affect the economy. And the technical factor that is playing in to the market is the forced selling from hedge funds and mutual funds that have to raise cash for redemptions, Smith said.

Nov. 15 is the cutoff for shareholders to notify fund managers of their intent to cash out investments before year-end, which means a sudden influx of "sell" orders could force funds into dumping more investments. Analysts expect this to continue to add to the volatility in the market.

In the final hour trading, the Dow was up 57.51, or 0.66 percent, at 8,753.30 after being up more than 250 before Obama spoke.

The broader Standard & Poor's 500 index added 5.42, or 0.60 percent, to 910.30, and the Nasdaq composite index rose 8.19, or 0.51 percent, to 1,616.89.