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The Honolulu Advertiser
Posted on: Tuesday, October 21, 2008

COMMENTARY
Congress must improve economic safety

By Peter B. Edelman, Mark H. Greenberg and Harry J. Holzer

Hawaii news photo - The Honolulu Advertiser

A mother of three looks through a food pantry in Cincinnati. The least-skilled workers are usually the first to lose their jobs in a downturn and the last to regain their jobs when the economy improves.

BRANDI STAFFORD | Gannett News Service

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As policymakers struggle to respond to the financial meltdown, most analysts suggest our economy is entering a fairly serious and lengthy recession, with perhaps the highest unemployment rates in a generation. If true, this would inflict economic pain on most Americans — but the most severe effects will be felt by disadvantaged families.

Even in the best of times, people with low incomes have high unemployment rates and low wages. They are also more vulnerable to recessions than other workers, as the least skilled and least experienced are usually the first to lose their jobs in a downturn and the last to regain them when the economy recovers. The safety net that protects workers during times of involuntary job loss is tenuous for all workers but especially those with low wages. Unemployment insurance covers just over a third of all workers who become unemployed but less than half that fraction among workers earning low wages.

Consider the situation of low-income single mothers: Our national experiment with welfare reform in the 1990s, along with other policy changes and a strong economy, caused some 3 million families to leave the welfare rolls in that decade — with most parents finding jobs fairly quickly. Most maintained their employment during the fairly mild recession of 2001 and the weaker labor market that followed. Among those who did not, only 13 percent got unemployment insurance.

Moreover, as welfare has become far more restrictive, perhaps a fourth of all low-income single mothers are "disconnected" from both work and welfare during any given year. That fraction would rise during a serious recession. Public assistance would be very limited for other low-earning groups when their jobs disappear in the downturn.

Disadvantaged young people, who are much more likely to drop out of high school and less likely to attend or finish college than those from families with higher incomes, will face severe employment challenges in a weaker job market. Even during strong economic periods, less than half of all high school dropouts ages 16 to 24 are working. But joblessness would rise more dramatically for them in this downturn than for any other segment of the population.

What does this imply for public policy? As Congress considers a large economic recovery package, a priority should be placed on helping the disadvantaged find jobs or maintain their incomes. Such an approach would be more than compassionate: The poor are more likely to spend any cash they receive fairly quickly to meet their basic needs, generating more stimulus for the economy than do tax rebates or other payments to higher-income groups. Some of these expenditures can also be considered investments in higher future productivity and earnings for the disadvantaged.

Congress should improve the safety net so that it catches more jobless workers and their families. Not only should unemployment insurance and food stamps be extended and expanded, but special outreach efforts should be undertaken to ensure that all who qualify have access to these and other basic benefits. The earned-income tax credit should be made more generous for those who currently get little, such as childless adults.

More broadly, special efforts should be made to boost employment and skills among disadvantaged youths and others with barriers to work. Year-round service employment programs for disadvantaged youths can be quickly expanded and tied to efforts to improve their skills. Career and technical education options that emphasize work experience as well as training can be scaled up.

As we prepare for a serious economic downturn and plan to spend large sums to limit its effects, we should keep in mind the needs of all Americans — especially those who will be most hurt by whatever comes to pass.

Peter B. Edelman is a law professor at Georgetown University; Mark H. Greenberg is a senior fellow at the Center for American Progress; and Harry J. Holzer is a public policy professor at Georgetown and senior fellow at the Urban Institute. They wrote this commentary for The Washington Post.