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The Honolulu Advertiser
Posted on: Thursday, June 11, 2009

Markets end day up on strong auction for 30-year Treasury bonds


By STEPHEN BERNARD and TIM PARADIS
AP Business Writers

NEW YORK — The stock market’s rally is shifting to a lower gear.

The Dow Jones industrial average tacked on a modest 32 points Thursday after being up as much as 139, and the Standard & Poor’s 500 index edged up to reach its highest level since November.
Investors welcomed a drop in jobless claims, growth in retail sales and better-than-expected demand at a government debt auction. But traders also seemed mindful of how far the market has come in its three-month rally.
The stock market has at times run low on fresh evidence of economic recovery that could push the rally further. The data out Thursday helped but weren’t enough to keep the pace of buying strong through the end of trading.
The Labor Department reported that the number of newly laid-off Americans filing for jobless benefits fell last week by 24,000 to 601,000, better than economists forecast. However the number of unemployed continuing to file for claims rose to 6.8 million, the highest on records dating to 1967.
Meanwhile, the Commerce Department said retail sales rose 0.5 percent in May, interrupting two months of decreases and marking the largest gain since January. Investors watch those numbers because consumer spending accounts for more than two-thirds of U.S. economic activity.
Doug Lockwood, chief investment officer at Cornerstone Wealth Management, said the improvements in sales is a strong signal that the recession may be easing. Hope of a recovery has pushed the S&P 500 index up 39.7 percent from a 12-year low on March 9.
“There has been a lot of rallying and rebounding going on, but we have to continue to see improvements,” Lockwood said.
Stocks rose to their highest levels of the day in afternoon trading when the Treasury Department said an auction for 30-year Treasury bonds attracted strong demand. That allowed investors to set aside some of their worries about higher interest rates. Stocks lost ground Wednesday following a relatively weak auction for 10-year notes.
The Dow rose 31.90, or 0.4 percent, to 8,770.92. The S&P 500 rose 5.74, or 0.6 percent, to 944.89, just above its close on June 2 and its highest point since Nov. 5. The Nasdaq Composite index rose 9.29, or 0.5 percent, to 1,862.37, its best level since Oct. 6.
Investors have been uneasy in the past two months about demand for government debt. If Washington has to raise rates to attract buyers, that could hurt the economy by boosting borrowing costs.
The market’s losses Wednesday came after the government had to entice investors with a higher yield for 10-year notes than traders had anticipated. The yield on the 10-year note is closely linked to interest rates on home mortgages and other kinds of loans.
“The bond market is a potential risk to the stock market if yields continue to move higher,” said Dean Curnutt, president of Macro Risk Advisors. “A further rise in yields threatens to choke off a recovery.”
The Mortgage Bankers Association said this week that demand for refinancing mortgages has fallen as rates have moved higher. Like consumer spending, a recovery in the housing market is also seen vital to an economic recovery.
Bond investors have also been worried that a flood of new supply in the Treasury market could hurt Treasury prices as the government issues massive amounts of debt to finance its financial bailout and economic stimulus programs.
Treasury prices were mostly higher going into the auction for 30-year bonds and continued to rise afterward, pushing their yields lower. The yield on the benchmark 10-year note fell to 3.86 percent from 3.96 percent late Wednesday. The yield on the 30-year Treasury bond fell to 4.69 percent from 4.77 percent late Wednesday.
The yield on the three-month T-bill was flat at 0.17 percent.
A weakening dollar, which can drive up prices of imported goods and commodities, has also brought worries of inflation. The dollar fell against other major currencies, while gold prices rose. Oil rose $1.35 to settle at $72.68 a barrel after hitting an eight-month high.
Oil has been rising, in part, as more investors worried about the slide in the dollar look for a place to stash money.
Advancing issues outnumbered those that fell by about 3 to 2 on the New York Stock Exchange. Consolidated volume rose to 5.4 billion shares, compared with 5.2 billion shares traded Wednesday.
The Russell 2000 index of smaller companies rose 2.37, or 0.5 percent, to 526.08.
Overseas, Japan’s Nikkei stock average rose 0.9 percent. Britain’s FTSE 100 rose 0.6 percent, Germany’s DAX index gained 1.1 percent, and France’s CAC-40 gained 0.6 percent.